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Gold Edges Higher on the Week

by Peter A. Grant

June 23, AM
(from USAGOLD.com) --

Gold is modestly higher after bouncing from in front of important trendline/moving average support at 1241.30/1235.82 midweek. At this point, the yellow metal is slightly higher on the week. A higher close today would break the string of lower weekly closes in the two previous weeks and confirm a simple hook reversal on the weekly chart.

Dovish comments from St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, show that Minneapolis Fed dissenter Neel Kashkari is not a lone voice in the wilderness calling for a pause in the tightening schedule. Expressing particular concern about waning inflation pressures, Bullard said "The Fed can wait and see how the economy develops before making any further adjustments to the policy rate."

Bullard is a nonvoter, so he can't really bolster Kashkari's dissent. However, his concerns further highlight the fact that the FOMC as a whole is ignoring the data.

In the video we shot yesterday, I suggested that investors are confused by the Fed's confidence; what do they see that the rest of us are missing? ECB President Mario Draghi may have provided the answer by telling EU leaders that he expects the economy and wages to grow and that "confidence is the cheapest stimulus".

Zerohedge rightfully pointed out that that sentiment does not explain the ECB's €4.2 trillion balance sheet. The Fed is clearly doing the same thing, trying to foment confidence despite the realities evident in the data.

At some point though, reality is likely to overcome this fake confidence and not only will confidence in the economy fail, but confidence in the Fed itself will fail. In that respect, confidence becomes a very, very expensive form of stimulus.

Opinions expressed in commentary on the USAGOLD.com website do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. USAGOLD, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

 

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mkMichael J. Kosares, the author of these articles, has more than 40 years experience in the gold business. He is the founder and executive director of USAGOLD (both the website and gold brokerage service), the author of three books on the gold market, and the editor of "News & Views, Forecasts, Commentary & Analysis on the Economy and Precious Metals," the firm's client letter. He has written numerous magazine and internet essays and is well-known for his ongoing commentary on the gold market and its economic, political and financial underpinnings.

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